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Saturday, 02 September 2023 / Published in Novak Djokovic, US Open

Can You Slow-Ball Novak Djokovic?

G’day From New York

On one hand, you could say that Novak Djokovic came out passive.

On the other hand, you can certainly identify that it was Djere’s intention to play a passive game style to blunt Djokovic’s aggression.

For two sets, Djere’s counter-intuitive plan worked perfectly. And then he got a little fatigued and had to play more aggressively – and that’s where things came undone. Djokovic defeated Djere 4-6, 4-6, 6-1, 6-1, 6-3 in three hours and forty-five minutes at the US Open last night in a match that could have quite easily seen Djokovic bundled out of the tournament.

Djokovic started the match with a double fault and only made three first serves out of the first eight points. He was broken in the opening game, and the tone for the first two sets was already in place. There was too much neutral rallying. too many slice backhands. Too much defense. Djere was giving him absolutely nothing to work with.


FIRST TWO SETS (6-4, 6-4 Djere)

The first game featured a 32-shot rally, a 26-shot rally, and a 13-shot rally. Novak was not the one dictating. Laslo was, especially with his backhand cross court.

Djere saved a break point in his opening service game at 30-40, and Novak flew a routine backhand slice to gift the game. Djere consolidated for a 2-0 lead, and the tone of the first couple of sets was well and truly established.


Learn More About Baseline Play: Webinar 1: Winning Singles Strategy


Novak won his first game at 0-2, forcing three return errors and then spanking a backhand down-the-line winner. With a 40-0 lead, he let this shot rip, and it must have felt good to finally crush the ball instead of guiding it.

Djere held for a 3-1 lead in the next game, saving another game point. This was an extended 12-point game with five rallies in double digits, including a 27-shot rally that Djere won.

In the blink of an eye, Djere held a 6-4, 6-4 advantage. He did it by dominating Djokovic from the baseline.

Baseline Points Won (First Two Sets)

  • Djokovic = 39% (26/66)
  • Djere = 52% (34/66)

Djokovic was clearly being out-thought and out-played in the first two sets. He had no pace to work with.

“I thought he played terrific. I mean, I honestly have never seen him play like this. He was feeling the ball extremely well. Everything was kind of in his striking zone. He was tactically prepared very well,” Djokovic said.

“I think he started off the match very, very good. He was far more comfortable than me. I was defending mostly in the first two sets. To be honest, I could have and should have played better, on a high level, in these two sets, but huge credit to him for making me uncomfortable on the court and playing really some of the best tennis I’ve ever seen him play.”

Baseline Performance (First Two Sets)

  • Djokovic Forehand = 2 winners / 21 erors
  • Djere Forehand = 10 winners / 27 errors
  • Djokovic Backhand = 3 winners / 18 errors
  • Djere Backhand = 5 winners / 11 errors

As you can from the stats above, the Djere backhand was the star of the show in the first two sets, with five winners and only 11 errors. It completely hand-cuffed Djokovic.

Djokovic was winning the short rallies in the first two sets, but was getting chopped in the longer rallies.

Rally Length (First Two Sets)

  • 0-4 Shots = Djokovic 38 / Djere 37
  • 5-8 Shots = Djokovic 8 / Djere 14
  • 9+ Shots = Djokovic 8 / Djere 14

If the point went five shots or longer in the opening two sets,  Djere held a commanding 28-16 lead. His game plan was working perfectly.


LAST THREE SETS (Djokovic 6-1, 6-1, 6-3)

Djokovic felt good about his chances once he won the third set.

“Maybe when I won the third, I felt like maybe I’m back in the match; I kind of got him if I can say so,’ Djokovic said.

“But he was fighting. He stayed cool and composed. He didn’t show too many emotions in a way. He didn’t, I would say, lose it somehow. He just was very consistent.

“I feel like I raised my level and was reading his game slightly better in the third, fourth, and fifth than I have in the first two sets. I think I served well when I needed to, especially in the fifth. It was only one break. He had a break point to come back to the match. It was a nerve-wracking last game.

“Yeah, so relieved to get this one.”


The World’s Best Baseline Patterns. Webinar 7: Baseline Patterns & Strategy


Baseline Points Won (Last Three Sets)

  • Djokovic = 61% (55/90)
  • Djere = 34% (31/91)

The baseline tables dramatically turned in the last three sets, with Djokovic winning 61% and Djere close to half of that at 34%.

So, what changed from Djere’s standpoint? He started playing too big, he said in an interview with Sasa Ozmo from Tennis Majors.

“I’ve been playing well for some time now”, Djere said after the late-night loss.

“Today, I felt that even in the third and fourth set, I didn’t play badly. It’s just that he has shown why he is the greatest player of all time. I didn’t feel any pressure when I was 2-0 up; my mind hasn’t wandered at all, just a little bit.”

Djere then talked about one small regret from the match. Playing too big.

“Rewinding the match right now, I think it was a mistake on my part that I started to play more aggressively in the third and in the fourth set, Djere said.

Towards the end of the fifth set, in the last few games, I slowed my ball down a bit, and it had a positive impact. In uptempo exchanges, he is the best in the world; he knew how to use the speed of my ball. Also, he made an adjustment by going more frequently down the line with his backhand.”

Djere admitted that the passive points were taking a toll on his body.

“On the other hand, I felt that physically I didn’t have that much energy, so that’s why I tried to finish points quicker, which is extremely difficult to do against him. But yes, I should have played a bit more passive.”

Rally Length (Last Three Sets)

  • 0-4 Shots = Djokovic 55 / Djere 33
  • 5-8 Shots = Djokovic 11 / Djere 12
  • 9+ Shots = Djokovic  25 / Djere 12

Djokovic shut down Djere in short rallies of 0-4 shots with a 22-point advantage as well as long rallies, with a 13-point advantage.


Play Smarter: Webinar 13: How Not To Lose


SUMMARY

By the end of the match, Djokovic was enjoying small victories all over the court.

  • Returns In Play On Break Point: Djokovic 71% (10/14) / Djere 55% (6/11)
  • 1st Serve Percentage On Break Point: Djokovic 64% (7/11) / Djere 56% (8/14)
  • Points Won Serving At 30-30 & Deuce: Djokovic 64% (9/14) / Djere 57% (14/24)

Djere’s strategy suited him perfectly, and had the match been best out of three sets, he could very well had the stamina to win. But as he readily admitted, his fitness declined as the fifth-set finish line approached.

Beating Djokovic in a best-of-five sets encounter is a battle of fitness as much as strategy.

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THE FIRST 4 SHOTS

The practice court is clearly broken. Here’s the proof.

Points are "front loaded". By far the majority of the action, and the winning, takes place in THE FIRST 4 SHOTS. The practice court is full of long rallies. Matches are dominated by short rallies. There is a massive disconnect occurring.

We spend too much time grinding, banging balls up and down the middle of the court – that have no real benefit to winning tennis matches.

There are 3 specific rally lengths in tennis. Here is their percentage breakdown of total points.

0-4 Shots = 70%
5-8 Shots = 20%
9+ Shots = 10%

The First 4 Shots is specifically the serve, return, Serve +1 groundstroke and Return +1 groundstroke. Those are normally the shots that get practiced the least, but matter the most to winning tennis matches.

Short Ball Hunter

The net is an extremely high percentage place to be!

If you love playing tennis for fun, spend as much time at the baseline as you like. But if you compete – if the score matters – then you must turn your attention to the net to maximize your potential.

The “herd mentality” in tennis thinks it’s too tough to approach the net in today’s game. The conversation starts with improved string technology, more powerful rackets, and finishes with stronger, faster athletes. The herd think approaching is a relic of the past. The herd is WRONG!

AVERAGE WIN %
Baseline = 46%
Net = 66%

Data from ALL Grand Slams provides the facts about approach and volley, and the data is crystal clear – it’s immensely better than staying back at the baseline, grinding for a living.

Num3ers

The baseline is a tough place to create separation. Here's how to do it.

At the 2012 US Open, only 7 men and 14 women had a winning percentage from the baseline. At Wimbledon 2016, Andy Murray won the title only winning 52% of his baseline points - and he is one of the very best at it in the world!

Num3ers deeply explores the data that rules points, especially from the back of the court. Take a "deep dive" into all three rally lengths (0-4, 5-8, 9+), and winner and errors totals from the elite level of our game. The numbers will shock you!

All 4 Grand Slams

Forcing Errors = 41% Men / 37% Women
Winners = 32% Men / 29% Women
Unforced Errors = 27% Men / 34% Women

Num3ers is very much like putting a jigsaw puzzle together. It's about bringing together different data sets together to create the big picture.

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Doubles Numbers

Every recorded match from the 2015 Australian Open - Rd2 to the final.

There is a lot happening on a doubles court. Situations and strategies are constantly being adjusted to create mis-matches with court position. It's hard to keep track of - until now. Dou8les Num3ers is the most comprehensive analysis of doubles data in our sport. The focus is on how a point ends, and it's broken down eight ways to Sunday. Specifically, you find critical information on:

Winners rise to the #1 way a point ends (over forced & unforced errors)

- The last shot of the rally is overwhelmingly struck at the net.
- Center Window: the most important part of a doubles court to control.
- Stephen Huss: an in-depth interview on Wimbledon's Centre Court with the 2005 Wimbledon Doubles Champion.

Dou8les Num3ers leaves no stone unturned. Percentage breakdowns of how often the server or receiver hits the last shot highlight the dramatic influence of the serve. The last shot of the rally is significant, and is broken down into the following categories: volleys, overheads, passing shots, lobs and groundstrokes.

between the points

When you play a match, you actually play two matches.

When you walk out onto a tennis court, there are two matches that you are about to play. The first is during the point - a part of the match that you have spent a lot of time preparing for on the practice court. But there is a second match, that takes place in the 20 seconds between the points. This is where the mental and emotional aspects of our sport kick in.

Let's face it, there will be adversity in almost every tennis match that you play. The storm clouds are coming. How bug they are, and how long they last for, are up to you.

Between the points is very tennis specific. It provides a roadmap for the 20 seconds between the points, teaching how to handle the adversity that will surely come, and how to build on the successes that will also be present. Your mind is your biggest asset in a match, and Between the Points takes your hand off the self destruct button and stops you beating yourself.

25 golden rules of singles strategy

You don't have to be good at everything, but you have got to be good at something.

You can break tennis down into four key elements - serving, returning, rallying and approaching. Each part has specific patterns of play that consistently deliver higher winning percentages than the others. No more guessing. No more opinions. All facets of our sport are covered in this exceptional product, clearly outlining what patterns to gravitate to, and how to best construct the practice court. Data comes primarily from the 2015 Australian Open.

Building Blocks

MEN = 70% errors / 30% winners
WOMEN = 74% errors / 26% winners

Forcing errors is the best way to construct a point.
You can simply break tennis down into primary and secondary patterns of play - and they are all covered here. Primary patterns include serve and return direction, forehands v backhands, and the best way to approach the net. Secondary patterns include drop shots, serve & volley and 1st volley options. If you play tournaments, this product will greatly help you simplify the singles court.

25 golden rules of doubles

The conversation starts & ends with the Center Window.

The doubles court is like an hourglass. There are two big ends, but a small neck in the middle where all the action happens. Once you learn the power of the Center Window, where you stand to start the point will take on a lot more significance.

Doubles is a lot more about situations, with four people on the court all "dancing" with one another. Learn all the best doubles patterns, broken down for the server, returner, server's partner and the returner's partner.

Doubles Situations

The "J" - the most ideal movement for the returner's partner to attack the net.

The "V" - a better way of understanding where the server's partner should move to.

Volley Targets - there are four main areas to attack. Know which ones are higher percentage. Beach Volleyball - the idea of a "setter" and "spiker" is ideal for the doubles court.

There are certain parts of the court that the ball travels to a lot, and other low percentage areas that you really don't want to cover at all - like the alley! In general, the serving team wants to keep the ball in the middle of the court as much as possible (to help the server's partner), while the returning team benefits from hitting wider and creating more chaos in the point.

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Getting Tight tennis strategy course

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