G’day from Wimbledon,
Imagine doing just one thing that bolsters your chance of holding serve all the way to 91%. That’s exactly what is happening in the men’s draw at Wimbledon this year. What’s the one thing that has this much influence in the game? The very first point of the service game. Let’s dig into the data…
MEN: 2026 Wimbledon Holding Serve
- Service Games Won = 82%
- Holding Serve From 15-0 = 91%
Winning 9 out of 10 points on any court surface is extremely dominant. As a point of comparison, winning a set 6-0 means you are winning right around 70% of points. Ignacio Buse defeated Emilio Nava 7-6(3), 3-6, 7-5, 6-0 in their first-round match at Wimbledon. In the fourth set, which Buse won 6-0, he won 72% (28/39) of points. Winning a set 6-0 is as dominant as you can get, and it only takes winning 7 out of 10 points.
That gives you some perspective on just how dominant it is to hold serve 91% of the time.
Players would be wise to have a set game plan for the first point of the game. Here are a few ideas…
SHOT 1 = 1st Serve Out Wide
When a right-hander hits a slice serve out wide in the Deuce court, it’s the slice and direction that hurt the opponent the most – not the speed of the shot. Pulling the returner off the court also opens a hole to the other side of the court (Ad court) for an immediate attack. And if the returner is sprinting back into the court after being pulled wide, then let them run and play behind them.
SHOT 3 = Serve +1 Forehand
After making a first serve out wide, the return will most likely come down the middle of the court. Don’t accept this as a backhand. Look to hit a run-around forehand as much as possible. The three big advantages of the run-around forehand are as follows…
- UPGRADE – Hitting a more powerful forehand (the sword) is far superior to hitting a backhand (the shield). About 70% of baseline winners are struck with the forehand.
- DOUBLE – You can now effectively attack out wide to the Deuce and Ad courts, doubling the target areas you can hurt your opponent.
- FREEZE – Because of the natural, semi-open stance, the returner has to wait until the ball comes off the strings to know where it is headed. This is all about taking away the returner’s anticipation and making them a little late to the next shot. We play a game of taking away time.
SHOT 5 = Finish With A Volley
You have hit a nice slider out wide to pull the returner off the court. You have followed it up with a Serve +1 forehand and hit it to the other side of the court – wide in the Ad court. The opponent is on the run and has to hit a defensive backhand to stay in the point. Now is the time to finish; follow the forehand to the net and knock off a volley winner to end the point. Watch the returner’s movement to see if you play behind them (they are running fast), or go to the open court (they can’t chase the ball down).
After removing as much risk as possible, you dominate the opening point and lead 15-0. Your chance of holding serve has not skyrocketed to 91%. What comes next? Why not serve and volley out wide to the backhand return in the Ad court, then take the first volley back behind the returner for a winner. Or if they chase it down, they will almost always lob. Enjoy the overhead!
WIMBLEDON WOMEN’S DRAW
Going 15-0 on serve also considerably helps the women hold serve here at SW19.
WOMEN: 2026 Wimbledon Holding Serve
- Service Games Won = 70%
- Holding Serve From 15-0 = 82%
The win percentage rises by 12 percentage points, from 70% to 82%, when the women surge to a 15-0 lead. Even though it’s not as high as 91% for men, it’s tougher for women to hold serve, so this bump really helps secure a hold.
SUMMARY
We play a sport of momentum. Winning begets winning. The more you can get ahead, the more scoreboard pressure you can apply to your opponent. Don’t play the love-all point recklessly. Don’t overhit the first serve and unnecessarily put yourself in a second-serve hole.
Maybe the first several times you can slice the first serve wide at 0-0, and if you feel the opponent is starting to read your pattern, then look to switch with a first serve at the body or down the T to surprise.
Below is a list of men in the quarter-finals who have held serve from 15-0 in the tournament.
MEN: Still Alive In The Tournament
- F. Auger-Aliassime = 100% (48/48)
- N. Djokovic = 100% (49/49)
- A. Zverev = 98% (47/48)
- T. Fritz = 98% (44/45)
- J. Lehecka = 97% (37/38)
- J. Sinner = 96% (48/50)
- J.L. Struff = 92% (54/59)
- A. Fery = 90% (56/62)
- F. Cobolli = 89% (48/54)
- TOTAL = 95% (431/453)
WOW! The players still left in the tournament are holding serve 95% of the time after surging to a 15-0 advantage. Once they gain extra control of their service games by winning the first point, they don’t easily give up their increased advantage.
WOMEN: Still Alive In The Tournament
- K. Muchova = 97% (36/37)
- C. Gauff = 97% (29/30)
- Naomi Osaka = 96% (26/27)
- E. Mertens = 93% (14/15)
- M/ Kostyuk = 90% (26/29)
- L. Noskova = 89% (32/36)
- J. Paolini = 85% (22/26)
- J. Pegula = 80% (20/25)
- TOTAL = 91% (205/225)
These eight women are averaging 91% of the time, which is exactly the men’s tournament average.
One point can make a huge difference in our sport and creates a positive ripple effect for the rest of your game.

