G’day from Wimbledon, 🍓
It’s ladies’ semi-final day today. Looking forward to two great matches!
Here’s the line-up:
Semi-Final 1: Barbora Krejcikova vs. Elena Rybakina
Semi-Final 2: Donna Vekic vs. Jasmine Paolini
Let’s breakdown who is doing best in the following categories.
SERVICE GAMES WON
- Rybakina 86% (38/44)
- Vekic 86% (55/64)
- Krejcikova 75%
- Paolini 70% (38/54)
Look for Rybakina and Vekic to continue their strong run holding serve. This is a big advantage for these two players, as when the pressure rises, they have supreme confidence in holding serve from their first five matches in the tournament.
TACTICS & TECHNIQUE – IMPROVE YOUR SERVE
Webinar 3: Serve Strategy & Patterns
Webinar 11: Break Points & Tie Breaks
Webinar 21: Serve & Volley / Return & Volley
Webinar 46: 8 Ways To Force An Error
BREAK POINTS SAVED
- Rybakina 71% (15/21)
- Krejcikova 65% (26/40)
- Vekic 57% (12/21)
- Paolini 50% (16/32)
Rybakina is ticking all the serve boxes this tournament. She will be so hard to beat for the title because of how well she takes care of her service games. She has only been broken six times. It will be tough to Krejcikova to break her today.
DOUBLE FAULTS
- Krejcikova 25
- Vekic 23
- Rybakina 13
- Paolini 7
Paolina has served just seven duble faults in 54 service games. Very impressive. When Vekic served for the second set at 5-3 against Lulu Sun in the quarter-finals, she started the game with a nervous double fault. She ended up with five in that game as the moment got to her. Paolini will look to ramp up the pressure to extract as many as she can today.
ACES
- Rybakina 31
- Vekic 28
- Krejcikova 16
- Paolini 5
Rybakina will be looking to serve her way to the title once again this year. She has such a clean, simple motion and builds a lot of speed by rocking back first and then driving up through the ball. Vekic is also a tall player who can drop heat in her service games.
RETURN GAMES WON
- Paolini 54% (28/52)
- Rybakina 54% (22/41)
- Krejcikova 39% (23/59)
- Vekic 30% (20/66)
This is the beating heart of the Italian’s game. It’s amazing to see both Paolini and Rybakina winning more of their opponent’s service games (54%) than they win themselves (46%)
Rybakina is crushing the serve categories and also doing extremely well on the return side of the equation.
BASELINE POINTS WON
- Vekic 55%
- Rybakina 55%
- Paolini 54%
- Krejcikova 53%
Vekic and Rybakina have the size and the strength to hit through opponents from the back of the court. Look for them to use “first strike” tactics from the baseline as well and try and hit through their opponents.
NET POINTS WON
- Paolini 74% (92/124)
- Vekic 69% (41/59)
- Rybakina 68% (62/91)
- Krejcikova 68% (40/59)
Paolina has been to the net considerably more than the other players at 124 times. What’s fascinating is that she has only played one three-set match. Paolini must go to the net as much as she possibly can against Vekic to apply pressure and to give different strategies to have to deal with.
SUMMARY
All things point to Rybakina beating Krejcikova, probably in straight sets. Rybakina is in great form and has already won Wimbledon once before.
Paolini and Vekic definitely appears closer, but I think Paolini will get through a tough, hard-hitting match.
Looking for two amazing matches today!
Best,
Craig